Cristian Garin 0-2 Novak Djokovic

Finished

For this ATP Nur-Sultan match, BetFTW's top pick is Cristian Garin to win, with a 17% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 28%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Cristian Garin to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    17%
    Stake Low 10.6/100
    Odds 14.00 Betsafe Recorded P/L -10.62
    Best odds 14.00 Betsafe
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 5.00 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -10.00
    Best odds 5.00 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Cristian Garin to win 17.0% 14.00 7.1% +9.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 28.0% 5.00 20.0% +8.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Novak Djokovic

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Oct 2022 Marin Cilic Home 2-0 W
1 Oct 2022 Roman Safiullin Home 2-0 W
30 Sep 2022 Vasek Pospisil Home 2-0 W
29 Sep 2022 Pablo Andujar Home 2-0 W
25 Sep 2022 Felix Auger Aliassime Home 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Novak Djokovic 5 1.60 0.40