Denis Shapovalov 2-0 Steve Johnson

Finished

For this ATP Tokyo match, BetFTW's top pick is Steve Johnson to win, with a 32% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Steve Johnson to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 11.1/100
    Odds 4.26 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -11.14
    Best odds 4.26 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Low 10.1/100
    Odds 2.65 Betobet Recorded P/L -10.06
    Best odds 2.65 Betobet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Steve Johnson to win 32.0% 4.26 23.5% +8.5 pp
Total score over 2.5 44.0% 2.65 37.7% +6.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Denis Shapovalov

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Oct 2022 Yoshihito Nishioka Away 0-2 L
1 Oct 2022 Jenson Brooksby Home 2-0 W
30 Sep 2022 Radu Albot Away 2-0 W
28 Sep 2022 Jaume Munar Away 2-0 W
3 Sep 2022 Andrey Rublev Home 2-3 L

Steve Johnson

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Sep 2022 Radu Albot Away 0-2 L
27 Sep 2022 Ji Sung Nam Home 2-0 W
22 Sep 2022 Alejandro Tabilo Home 0-2 L
30 Aug 2022 Grigor Dimitrov Away 0-3 L
24 Aug 2022 Richard Gasquet Home 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Denis Shapovalov 10 1.80 1.10
Steve Johnson 8 1.00 1.38