James Duckworth 1-2 Taylor Fritz

Finished

For this ATP Tokyo match, BetFTW's top pick is James Duckworth to win, with a 34% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 James Duckworth to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    34%
    Stake Low 23.0/100
    Odds 7.00 Efbet IT Recorded P/L -23.00
    Best odds 7.00 Efbet IT
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Low 18.1/100
    Odds 3.16 Betobet Recorded P/L +39.03
    Best odds 3.16 Betobet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
James Duckworth to win 34.0% 7.00 14.3% +19.7 pp
Total score over 2.5 44.0% 3.16 31.6% +12.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

James Duckworth

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Sep 2022 Marcos Giron Away 0-2 L
22 Sep 2022 Mitchell Krueger Away 2-0 W
19 Sep 2022 Alexei Popyrin Away 2-1 W
1 Sep 2022 Daniel Evans Home 1-3 L
30 Aug 2022 Christopher O'Connell Home 3-1 W

Taylor Fritz

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Aug 2022 Brandon Holt Home 1-3 L
19 Aug 2022 Daniil Medvedev Away 0-2 L
18 Aug 2022 Andrey Rublev Home 2-1 W
17 Aug 2022 Nick Kyrgios Home 2-0 W
16 Aug 2022 Sebastian Baez Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
James Duckworth 7 1.43 1.43
Taylor Fritz 7 1.43 1.29