Zhizhen Zhang 0-2 Andrey Rublev

Finished

For this ATP Nur-Sultan match, BetFTW's top pick is Zhizhen Zhang to win, with a 44% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Zhizhen Zhang to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Med 27.0/100
    Odds 4.30 efbet Recorded P/L -27.03
    Best odds 4.30 efbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 21.4/100
    Odds 2.75 Betway Recorded P/L -21.43
    Best odds 2.75 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Zhizhen Zhang to win 44.0% 4.30 23.3% +20.7 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.75 36.4% +13.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Zhizhen Zhang

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Oct 2022 Aslan Karatsev Home 2-1 W
2 Oct 2022 Aleksandr Nedovyesov Away 2-0 W
1 Oct 2022 Cem Ilkel Away 2-1 W
29 Aug 2022 Tim Van Rijthoven Home 2-3 L
26 Aug 2022 Zizou Bergs Away 2-0 W

Andrey Rublev

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Oct 2022 Laslo Djere Away 2-0 W
7 Sep 2022 Frances Tiafoe Home 0-3 L
5 Sep 2022 Cameron Norrie Away 3-0 W
3 Sep 2022 Denis Shapovalov Away 3-2 W
1 Sep 2022 Soon Woo Kwon Away 3-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Zhizhen Zhang 6 2.00 0.83
Andrey Rublev 9 1.89 1.33