Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0-2 Andy Murray

Finished

For this ATP Gijon match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 50% estimated probability. We also predict Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 12.1/100
    Odds 2.32 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -12.12
    Best odds 2.32 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 7.3/100
    Odds 2.17 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -7.26
    Best odds 2.17 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.32 43.1% +6.9 pp
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win 50.0% 2.17 46.1% +3.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Oct 2022 Pavel Kotov Away 0-2 L
4 Sep 2022 Matteo Berrettini Home 2-3 L
2 Sep 2022 Daniel Elahi Galan Away 3-1 W
31 Aug 2022 Marton Fucsovics Home 3-2 W
29 Aug 2022 Yoshihito Nishioka Away 3-0 W

Andy Murray

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Sep 2022 Matteo Berrettini Home 1-3 L
31 Aug 2022 Emilio Nava Home 3-1 W
29 Aug 2022 Francisco Cerundolo Away 3-0 W
17 Aug 2022 Cameron Norrie Home 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6 1.83 1.67