Alexander Bublik 2-0 Cristian Garin

Finished

For this ATP Florence match, BetFTW's top pick is Cristian Garin to win, with a 50% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Cristian Garin to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Med 34.4/100
    Odds 4.20 efbet Recorded P/L -34.38
    Best odds 4.20 efbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 23.0/100
    Odds 2.85 Parimatch Recorded P/L -22.97
    Best odds 2.85 Parimatch
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Cristian Garin to win 50.0% 4.20 23.8% +26.2 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.85 35.1% +14.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alexander Bublik

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Oct 2022 Hubert Hurkacz Home 0-2 L
25 Sep 2022 Lorenzo Sonego Home 0-2 L
22 Sep 2022 Emil Ruusuvuori Away 2-1 W
21 Sep 2022 Evan Furness Away 2-1 W
31 Aug 2022 Pablo Carreno Busta Away 1-3 L

Cristian Garin

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Oct 2022 Novak Djokovic Home 0-2 L
31 Aug 2022 Alex De Minaur Home 1-3 L
29 Aug 2022 Jiri Lehecka Home 3-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alexander Bublik 7 1.14 1.57