Richard Gasquet 0-2 Brandon Nakashima

Finished

For this ATP Florence match, BetFTW's top pick is Richard Gasquet to win, with a 62% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Richard Gasquet to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Med 42.0/100
    Odds 2.90 Betano Recorded P/L -43.46
    Best odds 3.05 efbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 10.6/100
    Odds 2.39 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -13.56
    Best odds 2.51 Weltbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Richard Gasquet to win 62.0% 3.05 32.8% +29.2 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.51 39.8% +8.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Richard Gasquet

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Sep 2022 Dominic Thiem Home 0-2 L
4 Sep 2022 Rafael Nadal Home 0-3 L
1 Sep 2022 Miomir Kecmanovic Away 3-1 W
30 Aug 2022 Taro Daniel Away 3-1 W
26 Aug 2022 Laslo Djere Away 1-2 L

Brandon Nakashima

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Oct 2022 Borna Coric Home 0-2 L
3 Oct 2022 Shintaro Mochizuki Home 2-0 W
25 Sep 2022 Christopher O'Connell Home 2-0 W
24 Sep 2022 Daniel Elahi Galan Home 2-1 W
23 Sep 2022 Denis Kudla Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Richard Gasquet 7 1.57 1.57
Brandon Nakashima 10 1.70 0.80