Francesco Passaro 0-2 Mackenzie McDonald

Finished

For this ATP Florence match, BetFTW's top pick is Mackenzie McDonald to win, with a 81% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 sets at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Mackenzie McDonald to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake Med 36.8/100
    Odds 1.43 Caesars Recorded P/L +24.74
    Best odds 1.54 ComeOn
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    70%
    Stake Low 15.5/100
    Odds 1.55 Betway Recorded P/L +13.40
    Best odds 1.62 Weltbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Mackenzie McDonald to win 81.0% 1.54 64.9% +16.1 pp
Total score under 2.5 70.0% 1.62 61.7% +8.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Mackenzie McDonald

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Oct 2022 Jenson Brooksby Home 2-1 W
5 Oct 2022 Soon Woo Kwon Home 1-2 L
4 Oct 2022 Kaichi Uchida Home 2-1 W
30 Sep 2022 Aleksandar Kovacevic Home 1-2 L
27 Sep 2022 Pedro Martinez Portero Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Mackenzie McDonald 10 1.40 1.30