Alexander Zverev 2-0 Alex Molcan

Finished

For this ATP Hamburg match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 38% estimated probability. We also predict Alex Molcan to win at 25%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    38%
    Stake Low 12.2/100
    Odds 3.40 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -13.00
    Best odds 3.48 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Alex Molcan to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    25%
    Stake Low 11.1/100
    Odds 6.40 Fanduel Recorded P/L -12.50
    Best odds 7.00 Bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 38.0% 3.48 28.7% +9.3 pp
Alex Molcan to win 25.0% 7.00 14.3% +10.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alexander Zverev

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Jul 2023 Andrey Rublev Home 0-2 L
20 Jul 2023 Thiago Monteiro Home 2-0 W
18 Jul 2023 Alex Molcan Home 2-1 W
8 Jul 2023 Matteo Berrettini Home 0-3 L
7 Jul 2023 Yosuke Watanuki Home 3-1 W

Alex Molcan

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Jul 2023 Alexander Zverev Away 1-2 L
3 Jul 2023 Mikael Ymer Away 0-3 L
1 Jun 2023 Alexander Zverev Away 0-3 L
30 May 2023 Hugo Gaston Away 3-0 W
11 May 2023 Stefano Napolitano Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alexander Zverev 10 1.60 0.90
Alex Molcan 10 1.30 1.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alexander Zverev and Alex Molcan in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
18 Jul 2023 ATP Bastad Alexander Zverev vs Alex Molcan 2-1
1 Jun 2023 ATP French Open Alexander Zverev vs Alex Molcan 3-0