Elias Ymer 0-2 Lorenzo Musetti

Finished

For this ATP Hamburg match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 44% estimated probability. We also predict Elias Ymer to win at 32%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Low 22.0/100
    Odds 3.55 Cricbaba Recorded P/L -22.04
    Best odds 3.55 Cricbaba
  2. Pick 2 Elias Ymer to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 19.5/100
    Odds 6.44 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -19.50
    Best odds 6.44 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 44.0% 3.55 28.2% +15.8 pp
Elias Ymer to win 32.0% 6.44 15.5% +16.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Elias Ymer

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Jul 2023 Jozef Kovalik Away 2-0 W
22 Jul 2023 Ivan Gakhov Home 2-0 W
28 Jun 2023 Fabian Marozsan Away 0-2 L
30 May 2023 Casper Ruud Home 0-3 L
26 May 2023 Yannick Hanfmann Away 2-0 W

Lorenzo Musetti

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Jul 2023 Casper Ruud Away 0-2 L
21 Jul 2023 Filip Misolic Home 2-1 W
19 Jul 2023 Matteo Arnaldi Home 2-1 W
6 Jul 2023 Jaume Munar Home 3-0 W
3 Jul 2023 Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Home 3-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Elias Ymer 10 1.20 1.00
Lorenzo Musetti 10 1.70 0.90