Jan Choinski 0-2 Zhizhen Zhang

Finished

For this ATP Hamburg match, BetFTW's top pick is Jan Choinski to win, with a 54% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Jan Choinski to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 23.3/100
    Odds 2.50 Bet365 Recorded P/L -24.32
    Best odds 2.55 10bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 16.7/100
    Odds 2.50 1xBet Recorded P/L -16.67
    Best odds 2.50 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Jan Choinski to win 54.0% 2.55 39.2% +14.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.50 40.0% +10.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Jan Choinski

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Jul 2023 Daniel Elahi Galan Away 2-1 W
6 Jul 2023 Hubert Hurkacz Home 0-3 L
3 Jul 2023 Dusan Lajovic Home 3-1 W
27 Jun 2023 Liam Broady Away 0-2 L
25 Jun 2023 Daniel Elahi Galan Away 0-2 L

Zhizhen Zhang

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jul 2023 Hamad Medjedovic Away 1-2 L
6 Jul 2023 Botic Van De Zandschulp Home 2-3 L
29 Jun 2023 Francisco Cerundolo Away 0-2 L
27 Jun 2023 Lorenzo Sonego Home 2-0 W
17 Jun 2023 Louis Wessels Home 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Jan Choinski 6 0.83 1.83
Zhizhen Zhang 10 0.90 1.90