Jesper De Jong 0-2 Matteo Arnaldi

Finished

BetFTW predicts Jesper De Jong to win against Matteo Arnaldi, with a 71% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Jesper De Jong to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake High 55.3/100
    Odds 2.85 Париматч Recorded P/L -56.50
    Best odds 3.00 efbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Jesper De Jong to win 71.0% 3.00 33.3% +37.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Jesper De Jong

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Jul 2023 Raul Brancaccio Home 2-1 W
11 Jun 2023 David Goffin Away 1-2 L
25 May 2023 Hamad Medjedovic Away 1-2 L
24 May 2023 Norbert Gombos Home 2-0 W
18 Oct 2022 Constant Lestienne Away 0-2 L

Matteo Arnaldi

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Jul 2023 Lorenzo Musetti Away 1-2 L
18 Jul 2023 Emil Ruusuvuori Home 2-1 W
28 Jun 2023 Federico Gaio Home 2-0 W
31 May 2023 Denis Shapovalov Home 1-3 L
28 May 2023 Daniel Elahi Galan Home 3-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Jesper De Jong 7 1.43 1.00
Matteo Arnaldi 10 1.60 1.30