Ugo Humbert 2-1 Constant Lestienne

Finished

For this ATP Atlanta match, BetFTW's top pick is Ugo Humbert to win, with a 71% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 42%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Ugo Humbert to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Low 5.1/100
    Odds 1.44 Suprabets Recorded P/L +2.24
    Best odds 1.44 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 3.6/100
    Odds 2.51 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +9.20
    Best odds 2.60 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Ugo Humbert to win 71.0% 1.44 69.4% +1.6 pp
Total score over 2.5 42.0% 2.60 38.5% +3.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ugo Humbert

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Jul 2023 Adrian Mannarino Home 0-2 L
19 Jun 2023 Ryan Peniston Home 0-2 L
14 Jun 2023 Emil Ruusuvuori Home 1-2 L
12 Jun 2023 Jason Kubler Home 2-0 W
31 May 2023 Lorenzo Sonego Away 0-3 L

Constant Lestienne

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Jul 2023 James Duckworth Away 1-2 L
3 Jul 2023 Liam Broady Away 0-3 L
28 Jun 2023 Arthur Rinderknech Away 0-2 L
27 Jun 2023 Jason Kubler Home 2-1 W
28 May 2023 Karen Khachanov Away 2-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Ugo Humbert 10 0.80 1.70
Constant Lestienne 10 0.80 1.90