Iga Swiatek 2-0 Karolina Pliskova

Finished

For this WTA Montreal match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 40% estimated probability. We also predict Karolina Pliskova to win at 28%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 23.1/100
    Odds 4.55 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -23.10
    Best odds 4.55 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Karolina Pliskova to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 19.8/100
    Odds 9.80 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -20.07
    Best odds 10.08 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 40.0% 4.55 22.0% +18.0 pp
Karolina Pliskova to win 28.0% 10.08 9.9% +18.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Iga Swiatek

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Jul 2023 Elina Svitolina Home 1-2 L
9 Jul 2023 Belinda Bencic Home 2-1 W
7 Jul 2023 Petra Martic Home 2-0 W
5 Jul 2023 Sara Sorribes Tormo Home 2-0 W
3 Jul 2023 Lin Zhu Home 2-0 W

Karolina Pliskova

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Aug 2023 Lin Zhu Away 2-1 W
1 Aug 2023 Hailey Baptiste Away 1-2 L
28 Jun 2023 Darya Kasatkina Away 1-2 L
19 Jun 2023 Petra Kvitova Home 0-2 L
29 May 2023 Sloane Stephens Home 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Iga Swiatek 10 1.90 0.40
Karolina Pliskova 10 0.90 1.60

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Iga Swiatek and Karolina Pliskova in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
21 Apr 2023 WTA Stuttgart Iga Swiatek vs Karolina Pliskova 2-1