Matteo Berrettini 0-2 Jannik Sinner

Finished

For this ATP Toronto match, BetFTW's top pick is Matteo Berrettini to win, with a 54% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Matteo Berrettini to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Med 29.5/100
    Odds 2.88 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -29.53
    Best odds 2.88 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 18.8/100
    Odds 2.60 Cricbaba Recorded P/L -18.75
    Best odds 2.60 Cricbaba
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Matteo Berrettini to win 54.0% 2.88 34.7% +19.3 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.60 38.5% +11.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Matteo Berrettini

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Aug 2023 Gregoire Barrere Away 2-0 W
10 Jul 2023 Carlos Alcaraz Away 1-3 L
8 Jul 2023 Alexander Zverev Away 3-0 W
7 Jul 2023 Alex De Minaur Home 3-0 W
12 Jun 2023 Lorenzo Sonego Away 0-2 L

Jannik Sinner

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Jul 2023 Novak Djokovic Home 0-3 L
11 Jul 2023 Roman Safiullin Home 3-1 W
9 Jul 2023 Daniel Elahi Galan Home 3-0 W
5 Jul 2023 Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Home 3-0 W
22 Jun 2023 Lorenzo Sonego Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Matteo Berrettini 10 1.60 1.00
Jannik Sinner 10 2.00 1.10