Jessica Pegula 2-0 Jasmine Paolini

Finished

For this WTA Montreal match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 38% estimated probability. We also predict Jasmine Paolini to win at 25%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    38%
    Stake Low 11.6/100
    Odds 3.35 Lilibet Recorded P/L -11.62
    Best odds 3.35 Lilibet
  2. Pick 2 Jasmine Paolini to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    25%
    Stake Low 9.4/100
    Odds 5.80 efbet Recorded P/L -9.38
    Best odds 5.80 efbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 38.0% 3.35 29.9% +8.1 pp
Jasmine Paolini to win 25.0% 5.80 17.2% +7.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Jessica Pegula

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Aug 2023 Maria Sakkari Home 1-2 L
4 Aug 2023 Elina Svitolina Home 2-1 W
3 Aug 2023 Peyton Stearns Home 2-0 W
11 Jul 2023 Marketa Vondrousova Home 1-2 L
9 Jul 2023 Lesia Tsurenko Home 2-0 W

Jasmine Paolini

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Aug 2023 Donna Vekic Home 2-0 W
25 Jul 2023 Daria Saville Away 0-2 L
23 Jul 2023 Qinwen Zheng Home 1-2 L
22 Jul 2023 Sara Sorribes Tormo Home 2-0 W
21 Jul 2023 Darya Kasatkina Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Jessica Pegula 10 1.40 1.00
Jasmine Paolini 10 1.40 1.10