Taylor Fritz 1-2 Alex De Minaur

Finished

For this ATP Toronto match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 48% estimated probability. We also predict Taylor Fritz to win at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 9.5/100
    Odds 2.35 Lilibet Recorded P/L +12.80
    Best odds 2.35 Lilibet
  2. Pick 2 Taylor Fritz to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 4.8/100
    Odds 1.79 efbet Recorded P/L -5.89
    Best odds 1.81 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.35 42.6% +5.4 pp
Taylor Fritz to win 58.0% 1.81 55.2% +2.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Taylor Fritz

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Aug 2023 Andy Murray Home 2-1 W
3 Aug 2023 Zachary Svajda Home 2-0 W
29 Jul 2023 Jeffrey John Wolf Home 2-0 W
6 Jul 2023 Mikael Ymer Away 2-3 L
28 Jun 2023 Mackenzie McDonald Home 0-2 L

Alex De Minaur

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Aug 2023 Cameron Norrie Home 2-0 W
6 Aug 2023 Stefanos Tsitsipas Away 0-2 L
29 Jul 2023 Ugo Humbert Away 0-2 L
7 Jul 2023 Matteo Berrettini Away 0-3 L
25 Jun 2023 Carlos Alcaraz Away 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Taylor Fritz 10 1.30 1.30
Alex De Minaur 10 1.10 1.20