Mackenzie McDonald 0-2 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Finished

For this ATP Toronto match, BetFTW's top pick is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 16.0/100
    Odds 1.75 efbet Recorded P/L +12.00
    Best odds 1.75 efbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 7.7/100
    Odds 2.41 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -7.70
    Best odds 2.41 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win 64.0% 1.75 57.1% +6.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 46.0% 2.41 41.5% +4.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Mackenzie McDonald

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Aug 2023 Milos Raonic Home 2-0 W
8 Aug 2023 Aslan Karatsev Home 2-0 W
31 Jul 2023 Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Home 2-0 W
3 Jul 2023 Alexander Bublik Away 1-3 L
29 Jun 2023 Mikael Ymer Home 2-1 W

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Aug 2023 Casper Ruud Home 2-1 W
7 Aug 2023 Jeffrey John Wolf Home 2-0 W
26 Jul 2023 Luca Van Assche Away 1-2 L
25 Jul 2023 Pedro Cachin Away 2-1 W
18 Jul 2023 Jozef Kovalik Away 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Mackenzie McDonald 10 1.60 0.80
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 10 1.60 1.40