Alexander Shevchenko 2-1 Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

Finished

For this ATP Cincinnati match, BetFTW's top pick is Alexander Shevchenko to win, with a 54% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alexander Shevchenko to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 19.4/100
    Odds 2.33 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +25.82
    Best odds 2.33 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 13.6/100
    Odds 2.38 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +18.82
    Best odds 2.38 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Alexander Shevchenko to win 54.0% 2.33 42.9% +11.1 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.38 42.0% +8.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alexander Shevchenko

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Aug 2023 Marton Fucsovics Away 2-0 W
4 Aug 2023 Daniel Evans Home 0-2 L
2 Aug 2023 Sebastian Korda Away 2-1 W
31 Jul 2023 Maxime Cressy Away 2-0 W
20 Jul 2023 Casper Ruud Away 0-2 L

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Aug 2023 Marcos Giron Home 2-0 W
6 Aug 2023 Aleksandar Vukic Away 2-0 W
31 Jul 2023 Mackenzie McDonald Away 0-2 L
5 Jul 2023 Jannik Sinner Away 0-3 L
3 Jul 2023 Miomir Kecmanovic Away 3-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alexander Shevchenko 10 1.20 1.40
Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 10 1.50 1.20