Elena Rybakina 1-2 Ludmilla Samsonova

Finished

For this WTA Montreal match, BetFTW's top pick is Elena Rybakina to win, with a 58% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Elena Rybakina to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 18.5/100
    Odds 2.06 22Bet Recorded P/L -18.53
    Best odds 2.06 22Bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 11.4/100
    Odds 2.42 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +16.16
    Best odds 2.42 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Elena Rybakina to win 58.0% 2.06 48.5% +9.5 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.42 41.3% +6.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Elena Rybakina

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Aug 2023 Darya Kasatkina Away 2-1 W
9 Aug 2023 Jennifer Brady Away 2-1 W
8 Jul 2023 Katie Boulter Away 2-0 W
6 Jul 2023 Alize Cornet Away 2-0 W
4 Jul 2023 Shelby Rogers Away 2-1 W

Ludmilla Samsonova

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Aug 2023 Aryna Sabalenka Home 2-1 W
8 Aug 2023 Katerina Siniakova Home 2-1 W
5 Aug 2023 Cori Gauff Away 0-2 L
4 Aug 2023 Marta Kostyuk Home 2-0 W
2 Aug 2023 Sorana Cirstea Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Elena Rybakina 10 1.90 0.50
Ludmilla Samsonova 10 1.40 0.90

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Elena Rybakina and Ludmilla Samsonova in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
21 Sep 2022 WTA Tokyo Elena Rybakina vs Ludmilla Samsonova 0-2