Jannik Sinner 2-0 Alex De Minaur

Finished

For this ATP Toronto match, BetFTW's top pick is Alex De Minaur to win, with a 42% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alex De Minaur to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 16.8/100
    Odds 3.30 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -16.78
    Best odds 3.30 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 15.5/100
    Odds 2.60 Lilibet Recorded P/L -15.50
    Best odds 2.60 Lilibet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Alex De Minaur to win 42.0% 3.30 30.3% +11.7 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.60 38.5% +9.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Jannik Sinner

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Aug 2023 Gael Monfils Away 2-1 W
9 Aug 2023 Matteo Berrettini Away 2-0 W
14 Jul 2023 Novak Djokovic Home 0-3 L
11 Jul 2023 Roman Safiullin Home 3-1 W
9 Jul 2023 Daniel Elahi Galan Home 3-0 W

Alex De Minaur

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Aug 2023 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Away 2-0 W
11 Aug 2023 Daniil Medvedev Home 2-0 W
10 Aug 2023 Taylor Fritz Away 2-1 W
8 Aug 2023 Cameron Norrie Home 2-0 W
6 Aug 2023 Stefanos Tsitsipas Away 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Jannik Sinner 10 1.90 0.90
Alex De Minaur 10 1.20 1.10