Elise Mertens 1-2 Marie Bouzkova

Finished

For this WTA Cincinnati match, BetFTW's top pick is Elise Mertens to win, with a 62% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Elise Mertens to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Med 33.0/100
    Odds 2.31 Suprabets Recorded P/L -32.99
    Best odds 2.31 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 2.40 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +15.20
    Best odds 2.40 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Elise Mertens to win 62.0% 2.31 43.3% +18.7 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.40 41.7% +6.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Elise Mertens

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Aug 2023 Darya Kasatkina Home 0-2 L
1 Aug 2023 Darya Kasatkina Home 0-2 L
21 Jul 2023 Rebeka Masarova Home 2-1 W
20 Jul 2023 Donna Vekic Home 2-0 W
6 Jul 2023 Elina Svitolina Home 1-2 L

Marie Bouzkova

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Aug 2023 Darya Kasatkina Home 0-2 L
31 Jul 2023 Jaqueline Cristian Home 1-2 L
9 Jul 2023 Marketa Vondrousova Away 1-2 L
6 Jul 2023 Anett Kontaveit Home 2-0 W
3 Jul 2023 Simona Waltert Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Elise Mertens 10 1.20 1.30
Marie Bouzkova 10 0.90 1.50