Gael Monfils 2-0 Alex De Minaur

Finished

For this ATP Cincinnati match, BetFTW's top pick is Gael Monfils to win, with a 42% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Gael Monfils to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 16.5/100
    Odds 3.27 Suprabets Recorded P/L +37.34
    Best odds 3.27 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 12.9/100
    Odds 2.48 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -12.86
    Best odds 2.48 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Gael Monfils to win 42.0% 3.27 30.6% +11.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.48 40.3% +7.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Gael Monfils

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Aug 2023 Jannik Sinner Home 1-2 L
10 Aug 2023 Aleksandar Vukic Home 2-0 W
9 Aug 2023 Stefanos Tsitsipas Away 2-0 W
7 Aug 2023 Christopher Eubanks Home 2-1 W
1 Aug 2023 Bjorn Fratangelo Home 2-0 W

Alex De Minaur

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Aug 2023 Jannik Sinner Away 0-2 L
12 Aug 2023 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Away 2-0 W
11 Aug 2023 Daniil Medvedev Home 2-0 W
10 Aug 2023 Taylor Fritz Away 2-1 W
8 Aug 2023 Cameron Norrie Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Gael Monfils 10 1.70 1.00
Alex De Minaur 10 1.00 1.20