Lorenzo Sonego 0-2 Taylor Fritz

Finished

For this ATP Cincinnati match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 40% estimated probability. We also predict Lorenzo Sonego to win at 27%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 9.2/100
    Odds 2.95 Lilibet Recorded P/L -9.23
    Best odds 2.95 Lilibet
  2. Pick 2 Lorenzo Sonego to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 5.1/100
    Odds 4.34 Betwinner Recorded P/L -5.14
    Best odds 4.34 Betwinner
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 40.0% 2.95 33.9% +6.1 pp
Lorenzo Sonego to win 27.0% 4.34 23.0% +4.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Lorenzo Sonego

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Aug 2023 Andy Murray Home 0-2 L
27 Jul 2023 Marco Cecchinato Away 2-0 W
20 Jul 2023 Albert Ramos Vinolas Away 1-2 L
27 Jun 2023 Zhizhen Zhang Away 0-2 L
22 Jun 2023 Jannik Sinner Home 1-2 L

Taylor Fritz

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Aug 2023 Alex De Minaur Home 1-2 L
4 Aug 2023 Andy Murray Home 2-1 W
3 Aug 2023 Zachary Svajda Home 2-0 W
29 Jul 2023 Jeffrey John Wolf Home 2-0 W
6 Jul 2023 Mikael Ymer Away 2-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Lorenzo Sonego 10 1.30 1.50
Taylor Fritz 10 1.30 1.20