Madison Keys 1-2 Elise Mertens

Finished

For this WTA Cincinnati match, BetFTW's top pick is Elise Mertens to win, with a 46% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Elise Mertens to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 23.5/100
    Odds 3.40 STS Recorded P/L +56.40
    Best odds 3.40 STS
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 19.1/100
    Odds 2.62 1Bet Recorded P/L +31.51
    Best odds 2.63 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Elise Mertens to win 46.0% 3.40 29.4% +16.6 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.63 38.0% +12.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Madison Keys

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Aug 2023 Jennifer Brady Away 2-0 W
2 Aug 2023 Qinwen Zheng Away 2-0 W
12 Jul 2023 Aryna Sabalenka Home 0-2 L
8 Jul 2023 Marta Kostyuk Away 2-0 W
5 Jul 2023 Sonay Kartal Away 2-0 W

Elise Mertens

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Aug 2023 Darya Kasatkina Home 0-2 L
1 Aug 2023 Darya Kasatkina Home 0-2 L
21 Jul 2023 Rebeka Masarova Home 2-1 W
20 Jul 2023 Donna Vekic Home 2-0 W
6 Jul 2023 Elina Svitolina Home 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Madison Keys 10 1.70 0.40
Elise Mertens 10 1.20 1.30