Alexander Zverev 2-1 Daniil Medvedev

Finished

BetFTW predicts Daniil Medvedev to win against Alexander Zverev, with a 74% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Daniil Medvedev to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 25.0/100
    Odds 1.53 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -25.04
    Best odds 1.53 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Daniil Medvedev to win 74.0% 1.53 65.4% +8.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alexander Zverev

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
16 Aug 2023 Yoshihito Nishioka Home 2-0 W
8 Aug 2023 Tallon Griekspoor Home 2-0 W
30 Jul 2023 Laslo Djere Home 2-0 W
29 Jul 2023 Arthur Fils Away 2-0 W
28 Jul 2023 Luca Van Assche Home 2-0 W

Daniil Medvedev

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
16 Aug 2023 Lorenzo Musetti Away 2-0 W
11 Aug 2023 Alex De Minaur Away 0-2 L
10 Aug 2023 Lorenzo Musetti Away 2-0 W
9 Aug 2023 Matteo Arnaldi Away 2-0 W
14 Jul 2023 Carlos Alcaraz Away 0-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alexander Zverev 10 1.80 0.30
Daniil Medvedev 10 1.60 1.10

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
13 Apr 2023 ATP Monte Carlo Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev 2-1
14 Mar 2023 ATP Indian Wells Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev 2-1