Arthur Rinderknech 0-2 Lorenzo Musetti

Finished

For this ATP Chengdu match, BetFTW's top pick is Lorenzo Musetti to win, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lorenzo Musetti to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 17.9/100
    Odds 1.78 Bwin Recorded P/L +13.92
    Best odds 1.78 Bwin
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 6.0/100
    Odds 2.35 Lilibet Recorded P/L -6.00
    Best odds 2.35 Lilibet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lorenzo Musetti to win 64.0% 1.78 56.2% +7.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 46.0% 2.35 42.6% +3.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Arthur Rinderknech

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Sep 2023 Marcos Giron Away 2-0 W
2 Sep 2023 Andrey Rublev Home 1-3 L
29 Aug 2023 Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Away 3-0 W
3 Aug 2023 Dominic Thiem Away 1-2 L
2 Aug 2023 Yannick Hanfmann Home 2-0 W

Lorenzo Musetti

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Aug 2023 Titouan Droguet Home 2-3 L
16 Aug 2023 Daniil Medvedev Home 0-2 L
10 Aug 2023 Daniil Medvedev Home 0-2 L
9 Aug 2023 Thanasi Kokkinakis Home 2-1 W
7 Aug 2023 Yoshihito Nishioka Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Arthur Rinderknech 10 1.60 1.00
Lorenzo Musetti 10 1.20 1.40