Iga Swiatek 0-2 Aryna Sabalenka

Finished

For this WTA Cincinnati match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 48% estimated probability. We also predict Aryna Sabalenka to win at 42%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 11.4/100
    Odds 2.42 Betsafe Recorded P/L -11.38
    Best odds 2.42 Betsafe
  2. Pick 2 Aryna Sabalenka to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 8.9/100
    Odds 2.75 Betway Recorded P/L +15.51
    Best odds 2.75 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.42 41.3% +6.7 pp
Aryna Sabalenka to win 42.0% 2.75 36.4% +5.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Iga Swiatek

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Aug 2024 Mirra Andreeva Home 2-1 W
16 Aug 2024 Marta Kostyuk Home 2-0 W
2 Aug 2024 Anna Schmiedlova Home 2-0 W
1 Aug 2024 Qinwen Zheng Home 0-2 L
30 Jul 2024 Xiyu Wang Home 2-0 W

Aryna Sabalenka

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Aug 2024 Ludmilla Samsonova Home 2-0 W
16 Aug 2024 Elina Svitolina Home 2-0 W
15 Aug 2024 Elisabetta Cocciaretto Home 2-0 W
10 Aug 2024 Katie Boulter Away 2-0 W
20 Jun 2024 Darya Kasatkina Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Iga Swiatek 10 1.70 0.50
Aryna Sabalenka 10 1.90 0.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
18 May 2024 WTA Rome Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka 2-0
4 May 2024 WTA Madrid Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka 2-1
5 Nov 2023 WTA World Tour - Finals Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek 0-2
23 Apr 2023 WTA Stuttgart Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka 2-0
9 Sep 2022 WTA US Open Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka 2-1