Jannik Sinner 2-1 Alexander Zverev

Finished

For this ATP Cincinnati match, BetFTW's top pick is Alexander Zverev to win, with a 54% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alexander Zverev to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Med 25.6/100
    Odds 2.62 Betano Recorded P/L -27.86
    Best odds 2.76 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 11.5/100
    Odds 2.30 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +16.00
    Best odds 2.32 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Alexander Zverev to win 54.0% 2.76 36.2% +17.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.32 43.1% +6.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Jannik Sinner

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Aug 2024 Andrey Rublev Home 2-1 W
14 Aug 2024 Alex Michelsen Home 2-0 W
8 Aug 2024 Borna Coric Home 2-0 W
9 Jul 2024 Daniil Medvedev Home 2-3 L
7 Jul 2024 Ben Shelton Home 3-0 W

Alexander Zverev

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Aug 2024 Ben Shelton Home 2-1 W
16 Aug 2024 Pablo Carreno Busta Home 2-0 W
15 Aug 2024 Karen Khachanov Home 2-0 W
11 Aug 2024 Sebastian Korda Away 1-2 L
10 Aug 2024 Holger Rune Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Jannik Sinner 10 2.40 0.60
Alexander Zverev 10 1.70 0.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Sep 2023 ATP US Open Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner 3-2