Jessica Pegula 2-1 Paula Badosa

Finished

BetFTW predicts Jessica Pegula to win against Paula Badosa, with a 72% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Jessica Pegula to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 43.4/100
    Odds 1.98 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +42.56
    Best odds 1.98 Vbet Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Jessica Pegula to win 72.0% 1.98 50.5% +21.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Jessica Pegula

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
16 Aug 2024 Karolina Muchova Home 2-1 W
11 Aug 2024 Diana Shnaider Away 2-0 W
9 Aug 2024 Ashlyn Krueger Home 2-0 W
8 Aug 2024 Karolina Pliskova Home 2-0 W
29 Jul 2024 Elina Svitolina Home 1-2 L

Paula Badosa

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
16 Aug 2024 Yulia Putintseva Home 2-0 W
15 Aug 2024 Anna Kalinskaya Away 2-0 W
14 Aug 2024 Peyton Stearns Away 2-0 W
8 Aug 2024 Jelena Ostapenko Home 1-2 L
7 Aug 2024 Clara Tauson Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Jessica Pegula 10 1.70 0.70
Paula Badosa 10 1.60 0.70