Alexei Popyrin 2-1 Nicolas Jarry

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 sets for Alexei Popyrin vs Nicolas Jarry, with a 50% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 2.25 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +12.50
    Best odds 2.25 Casumo Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.25 44.4% +5.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alexei Popyrin

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 May 2025 Daniil Medvedev Home 0-2 L
9 May 2025 Carlos Taberner Home 2-0 W
25 Apr 2025 Alexander Bublik Home 0-2 L
11 Apr 2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Away 0-2 L
10 Apr 2025 Casper Ruud Home 2-1 W

Nicolas Jarry

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 May 2025 Francisco Cerundolo Away 0-2 L
8 May 2025 Hugo Gaston Away 2-0 W
26 Apr 2025 Grigor Dimitrov Away 0-2 L
24 Apr 2025 Daniel Altmaier Away 2-0 W
15 Apr 2025 Ugo Humbert Away 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alexei Popyrin 10 1.20 1.30
Nicolas Jarry 10 0.80 1.70

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alexei Popyrin and Nicolas Jarry in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
28 Jul 2024 Olympic Games Men Singles Alexei Popyrin vs Nicolas Jarry 2-0
30 Oct 2023 ATP Paris Nicolas Jarry vs Alexei Popyrin 2-0