Nuno Borges 2-1 Alex Michelsen

Finished

For this ATP Geneva match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 50% estimated probability. We also predict Alex Michelsen to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 2.28 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +14.00
    Best odds 2.28 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Alex Michelsen to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.3/100
    Odds 2.26 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -10.32
    Best odds 2.26 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.28 43.9% +6.1 pp
Alex Michelsen to win 50.0% 2.26 44.2% +5.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Nuno Borges

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Apr 2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Home 0-2 L
23 Apr 2025 Pablo Carreno Busta Home 2-1 W
10 Apr 2025 Stefanos Tsitsipas Home 0-2 L
9 Apr 2025 Pedro Martinez Portero Home 2-1 W
20 Mar 2025 Zizou Bergs Away 0-2 L

Alex Michelsen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 May 2025 Laslo Djere Home 0-2 L
23 Apr 2025 Alexander Bublik Home 0-2 L
4 Apr 2025 Adrian Mannarino Home 2-1 W
21 Mar 2025 Camilo Ugo Carabelli Home 1-2 L
14 Feb 2025 Cameron Norrie Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Nuno Borges 10 1.00 1.40
Alex Michelsen 10 0.90 1.30