Pedro Martinez Portero 0-2 Francisco Cerundolo

Finished

For this ATP Hamburg match, BetFTW's top pick is Pedro Martinez Portero to win, with a 32% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Pedro Martinez Portero to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 16.0/100
    Odds 5.25 DraftKings Recorded P/L -16.00
    Best odds 5.25 DraftKings
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Low 14.5/100
    Odds 2.90 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -14.53
    Best odds 2.90 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Pedro Martinez Portero to win 32.0% 5.25 19.0% +13.0 pp
Total score over 2.5 44.0% 2.90 34.5% +9.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Pedro Martinez Portero

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 May 2025 Hubert Hurkacz Home 0-2 L
8 May 2025 Mattia Bellucci Away 2-0 W
23 Apr 2025 Francisco Comesana Away 0-2 L
16 Apr 2025 Arthur Fils Home 0-2 L
14 Apr 2025 Brandon Nakashima Home 2-1 W

Francisco Cerundolo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 May 2025 Jannik Sinner Away 0-2 L
12 May 2025 Sebastian Ofner Home 2-0 W
10 May 2025 Nicolas Jarry Home 2-0 W
2 May 2025 Casper Ruud Home 0-2 L
1 May 2025 Jakub Mensik Home 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Pedro Martinez Portero 10 0.90 1.50
Francisco Cerundolo 10 1.50 0.70

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Pedro Martinez Portero and Francisco Cerundolo in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
19 Jul 2024 ATP Hamburg Francisco Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinez Portero 1-2