Arthur Fils 2-0 Pavel Kotov

Finished

For this ATP Shanghai match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 44% estimated probability. We also predict Pavel Kotov to win at 32%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Low 23.6/100
    Odds 3.75 Betway Recorded P/L -23.64
    Best odds 3.75 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Pavel Kotov to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 22.8/100
    Odds 8.40 FanDuel Recorded P/L -22.93
    Best odds 8.50 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 44.0% 3.75 26.7% +17.3 pp
Pavel Kotov to win 32.0% 8.50 11.8% +20.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Arthur Fils

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Oct 2026 Valentin Vacherot Away 1-2 L
2 Oct 2026 Frances Tiafoe Home 2-0 W
29 Sep 2026 Kamil Majchrzak Home 2-1 W
31 Aug 2026 Stefanos Tsitsipas Away 1-3 L
23 Aug 2026 Frances Tiafoe Home 2-1 W

Pavel Kotov

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Oct 2026 Tallon Griekspoor Home 2-0 W
6 Oct 2026 Aleksandar Vukic Home 2-0 W
23 Sep 2026 Shintaro Mochizuki Away 0-2 L
23 Jun 2025 Nicolas Jarry Home 0-2 L
19 May 2025 Benjamin Hassan Away 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Arthur Fils 10 1.60 0.90
Pavel Kotov 10 1.00 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Oct 2023 ATP Shanghai Pavel Kotov vs Arthur Fils 0-2