Daniil Medvedev 2-1 Jan-Lennard Struff

Finished

For this ATP Shanghai match, BetFTW's top pick is Jan-Lennard Struff to win, with a 28% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 40%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Jan-Lennard Struff to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 14.2/100
    Odds 6.20 FanDuel Recorded P/L -14.15
    Best odds 6.20 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 10.7/100
    Odds 3.05 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +24.00
    Best odds 3.10 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Jan-Lennard Struff to win 28.0% 6.20 16.1% +11.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 40.0% 3.10 32.3% +7.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Daniil Medvedev

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Oct 2026 Francisco Cerundolo Home 2-0 W
26 Sep 2026 Valentin Royer Home 2-0 W
6 Sep 2026 Frances Tiafoe Home 0-3 L
4 Sep 2026 Arthur Rinderknech Home 3-0 W
18 Aug 2026 Brandon Nakashima Away 1-2 L

Jan-Lennard Struff

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Sep 2026 Thiago Agustin Tirante Home 2-0 W
3 Sep 2026 Francisco Cerundolo Home 2-3 L
1 Sep 2026 Camilo Ugo Carabelli Away 3-0 W
15 Aug 2026 Alejandro Tabilo Home 0-2 L
22 Jul 2026 Mariano Navone Home 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Daniil Medvedev 10 1.80 0.70
Jan-Lennard Struff 10 1.50 1.60

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Daniil Medvedev and Jan-Lennard Struff in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
25 Feb 2025 ATP Dubai Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff 2-0