Luciano Darderi 0-2 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Finished

For this ATP Shanghai match, BetFTW's top pick is Luciano Darderi to win, with a 58% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Luciano Darderi to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Med 38.4/100
    Odds 3.14 Fezbet Recorded P/L -39.33
    Best odds 3.25 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 12.9/100
    Odds 2.48 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -12.86
    Best odds 2.48 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Luciano Darderi to win 58.0% 3.25 30.8% +27.2 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.48 40.3% +7.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Luciano Darderi

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Oct 2026 Kyrian Jacquet Away 0-2 L
1 Oct 2026 Casper Ruud Home 2-0 W
5 Sep 2026 Dane Sweeny Home 3-0 W
3 Sep 2026 Dalibor Svrcina Home 3-1 W
26 Aug 2026 Botic Van De Zandschulp Away 0-2 L

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Oct 2026 Kimmer Coppejans Away 2-0 W
2 Oct 2026 Valentin Vacherot Away 1-2 L
1 Oct 2026 Tomas Martin Etcheverry Away 2-1 W
29 Sep 2026 Rinky Hijikata Home 2-0 W
4 Sep 2026 Jiri Lehecka Away 3-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Luciano Darderi 10 1.30 1.30
Stefanos Tsitsipas 10 1.80 1.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Luciano Darderi and Stefanos Tsitsipas in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
16 Jun 2025 ATP Halle Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Luciano Darderi 2-1