Sebastian Baez 0-2 Valentin Vacherot

Finished

For this ATP Shanghai match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 sets, with a 42% estimated probability. We also predict Sebastian Baez to win at 30%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 6.9/100
    Odds 2.65 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -6.85
    Best odds 2.65 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Sebastian Baez to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 4.6/100
    Odds 3.75 bet365 Recorded P/L -6.67
    Best odds 4.00 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 42.0% 2.65 37.7% +4.3 pp
Sebastian Baez to win 30.0% 4.00 25.0% +5.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Sebastian Baez

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Oct 2026 Marcos Giron Away 2-1 W
1 Oct 2026 Juncheng Shang Away 1-2 L
23 Sep 2026 Jenson Brooksby Home 0-2 L
31 Aug 2026 Brandon Nakashima Away 0-3 L
26 Aug 2026 Juan Manuel Cerundolo Away 0-1 L

Valentin Vacherot

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Oct 2026 Arthur Fils Home 2-1 W
2 Oct 2026 Stefanos Tsitsipas Home 2-1 W
30 Sep 2026 Alexander Blockx Home 2-0 W
26 Sep 2026 Lloyd Harris Home 0-2 L
31 Aug 2026 Aleksandar Kovacevic Home 3-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Sebastian Baez 10 0.80 1.60
Valentin Vacherot 10 1.70 1.00