Thiago Agustin Tirante 1-2 Rafael Jodar

Finished

For this ATP Shanghai match, BetFTW's top pick is Thiago Agustin Tirante to win, with a 42% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Thiago Agustin Tirante to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 14.4/100
    Odds 3.10 20Bet Recorded P/L -15.76
    Best odds 3.21 DraftKings
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 12.1/100
    Odds 2.45 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +20.00
    Best odds 2.50 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Thiago Agustin Tirante to win 42.0% 3.21 31.2% +10.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.50 40.0% +8.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Oct 2026 Hamad Medjedovic Home 2-0 W
30 Sep 2026 Jan-Lennard Struff Away 0-2 L
19 Aug 2026 Jakub Mensik Home 2-1 W
15 Aug 2026 Novak Djokovic Away 2-1 W
9 Aug 2026 Learner Tien Away 0-2 L

Rafael Jodar

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Sep 2026 Bu Yunchaokete Home 0-3 L
19 Aug 2026 Flavio Cobolli Home 1-2 L
17 Aug 2026 Alejandro Tabilo Home 2-0 W
11 Aug 2026 Arthur Fils Home 2-0 W
9 Aug 2026 Jiri Lehecka Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Thiago Agustin Tirante 10 1.50 1.00
Rafael Jodar 10 1.30 1.20