Alejandro Tabilo Rafael Jodar

For this ATP Paris match, BetFTW's top pick is Alejandro Tabilo to win, with a 62% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alejandro Tabilo to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake High 51.5/100
    Odds 4.63 DraftKings
    Best odds 4.63 DraftKings
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 18.3/100
    Odds 2.75 Betway
    Best odds 2.75 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Alejandro Tabilo to win 62.0% 4.63 21.6% +40.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.75 36.4% +11.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alejandro Tabilo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Oct 2026 Rafael Jodar Home 0-2 L
3 Oct 2026 Denis Shapovalov Away 1-2 L
30 Sep 2026 Tommy Paul Home 2-0 W
25 Sep 2026 Adrian Mannarino Home 0-2 L
6 Sep 2026 Alexander Zverev Away 0-3 L

Rafael Jodar

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Oct 2026 Valentin Vacherot Away 1-2 L
27 Oct 2026 Alejandro Tabilo Away 2-0 W
16 Oct 2026 Casper Ruud Home 2-1 W
14 Oct 2026 Botic Van De Zandschulp Away 2-1 W
12 Oct 2026 Jiri Lehecka Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alejandro Tabilo 10 0.90 1.60
Rafael Jodar 10 1.60 1.10

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
27 Oct 2026 ATP Basel Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar 0-2
17 Aug 2026 ATP Cincinnati Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo 2-0
2 Aug 2026 ATP Washington Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo 2-1