Mattia Bellucci 2-0 Lorenzo Sonego

Finished

BetFTW predicts Lorenzo Sonego to win against Mattia Bellucci, with a 70% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lorenzo Sonego to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    70%
    Stake Med 46.6/100
    Odds 2.28 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -46.56
    Best odds 2.28 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lorenzo Sonego to win 70.0% 2.28 43.9% +26.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Mattia Bellucci

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Thiago Agustin Tirante Away 2-0 W
22 Oct 2026 Terence Atmane Away 1-2 L
6 Oct 2026 Alexandre Muller Home 2-0 W
24 Sep 2026 Kamil Majchrzak Home 0-2 L
3 Sep 2026 Taylor Fritz Away 0-3 L

Lorenzo Sonego

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Oct 2026 Jacob Fearnley Home 1-2 L
25 Sep 2026 Jenson Brooksby Away 1-2 L
24 Sep 2026 James Duckworth Away 2-0 W
2 Sep 2026 Alexander Zverev Away 2-3 L
26 Aug 2026 James Duckworth Home 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Mattia Bellucci 10 1.30 1.30
Lorenzo Sonego 10 1.10 1.60