Tommy Paul Holger Rune

BetFTW predicts Tommy Paul to win against Holger Rune, with a 74% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Tommy Paul to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Low 22.8/100
    Odds 1.51 DraftKings
    Best odds 1.51 DraftKings
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Tommy Paul to win 74.0% 1.51 66.2% +7.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Tommy Paul

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2026 Carlos Alcaraz Home 0-2 L
29 Oct 2026 Luciano Darderi Home 2-0 W
27 Oct 2026 Andrey Rublev Home 2-0 W
24 Oct 2026 Taylor Fritz Home 0-2 L
16 Oct 2026 Daniil Medvedev Away 1-2 L

Holger Rune

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2026 Valentin Vacherot Home 1-2 L
26 Oct 2026 Quentin Halys Home 2-1 W
7 Oct 2026 Daniel Altmaier Home 1-2 L
1 Oct 2026 Kyrian Jacquet Home 0-2 L
17 Oct 2025 Tomas Martin Etcheverry Home 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Tommy Paul 10 1.20 1.30
Holger Rune 10 1.50 1.10