Ben Shelton 0-2 Carlos Alcaraz

Finished

For this ATP Paris match, BetFTW's top pick is Ben Shelton to win, with a 36% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Ben Shelton to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    36%
    Stake Low 16.3/100
    Odds 4.25 Betway Recorded P/L -16.31
    Best odds 4.25 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 12.3/100
    Odds 2.60 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -12.25
    Best odds 2.60 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Ben Shelton to win 36.0% 4.25 23.5% +12.5 pp
Total score over 2.5 46.0% 2.60 38.5% +7.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ben Shelton

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Nov 2026 Tommy Paul Home 2-1 W
27 Oct 2026 Aleksandar Kovacevic Home 2-1 W
11 Oct 2026 Arthur Gea Home 0-2 L
9 Oct 2026 Daniel Altmaier Home 2-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Alexander Zverev Away 1-3 L

Carlos Alcaraz

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Alex De Minaur Away 2-0 W
30 Oct 2026 Tommy Paul Away 2-0 W
27 Oct 2026 Karen Khachanov Away 2-0 W
12 Oct 2026 Zizou Bergs Away 0-2 L
10 Oct 2026 Juan Manuel Cerundolo Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Ben Shelton 10 1.80 1.20
Carlos Alcaraz 10 2.00 0.30

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 Jun 2025 ATP French Open Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz 1-3