Minas 85-80 Mogi das Cruzes

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is under 165.0 points, with a 66% estimated probability. We also predict Minas to win with -10.5 handicap at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 165.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 26.0/100
    Odds 1.85 1xBet Recorded P/L -26.00
    Best odds 1.85 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Minas to win with -10.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 13.4/100
    Odds 1.90 1xBet Recorded P/L -13.44
    Best odds 1.90 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Mogi das Cruzes to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    22%
    Stake Low 5.4/100
    Odds 5.70 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -5.40
    Best odds 5.70 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 165.0 66.0% 1.85 54.1% +11.9 pp
Minas to win with -10.5 handicap 59.0% 1.90 52.6% +6.4 pp
Mogi das Cruzes to win 22.0% 5.70 17.5% +4.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Minas

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Feb 2021 Franca Away 93-87 W
14 Feb 2021 Pato Basket Away 83-67 W
12 Feb 2021 Campo Mourao Home 91-70 W
9 Feb 2021 Flamengo Home 94-96 L
31 Jan 2021 Unifacisa Away 88-76 W

Mogi das Cruzes

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Feb 2021 Cearense Home 84-94 L
13 Feb 2021 Franca Home 87-75 W
8 Feb 2021 Caxias Do Sul Home 86-75 W
6 Feb 2021 Corinthians Home 75-77 L
30 Jan 2021 Pinheiros Away 81-77 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Minas 10 88.8 78.3
Mogi das Cruzes 10 79.7 82.2

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Minas and Mogi das Cruzes in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
16 Dec 2020 NBB Mogi das Cruzes vs Minas 74-80