Campo Mourao 73-89 Caxias Do Sul

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is under 163.0 points, with a 79% estimated probability. We also predict Caxias Do Sul to win with -7.5 handicap at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 163.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake High 52.1/100
    Odds 1.78 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +40.62
    Best odds 1.78 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Caxias Do Sul to win with -7.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 17.5/100
    Odds 2.20 BetVictor Recorded P/L +21.00
    Best odds 2.20 BetVictor
  3. Pick 3 Caxias Do Sul to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Low 6.6/100
    Odds 1.45 Bwin Recorded P/L +2.95
    Best odds 1.45 Bwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 163.0 79.0% 1.78 56.2% +22.8 pp
Caxias Do Sul to win with -7.5 handicap 55.0% 2.20 45.5% +9.5 pp
Caxias Do Sul to win 71.0% 1.45 69.0% +2.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Campo Mourao

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Feb 2021 Paulistano Home 78-86 L
12 Feb 2021 Minas Away 70-91 L
28 Jan 2021 Cerrado Iesplan Away 57-74 L
26 Jan 2021 Unifacisa Home 59-72 L
6 Jan 2021 Corinthians Away 72-96 L

Caxias Do Sul

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Mar 2021 Cearense Home 81-82 L
28 Feb 2021 Cerrado Iesplan Home 91-88 W
13 Feb 2021 Pinheiros Home 76-73 W
10 Feb 2021 Corinthians Home 79-78 W
8 Feb 2021 Mogi das Cruzes Away 75-86 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Campo Mourao 10 73.2 86.2
Caxias Do Sul 10 78.0 80.4