Franca 92-71 Mogi das Cruzes

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is over 166.5 points, with a 70% estimated probability. We also predict Franca to win with -19.5 handicap at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 166.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    70%
    Stake Med 40.9/100
    Odds 2.03 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -40.87
    Best odds 2.03 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Franca to win with -19.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 23.0/100
    Odds 2.14 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +26.27
    Best odds 2.14 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Mogi das Cruzes to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    14%
    Stake Low 0.0/100
    Odds 16.00 Efbet IT Recorded P/L -6.18
    Best odds 12.00 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 166.5 70.0% 2.03 49.3% +20.7 pp
Franca to win with -19.5 handicap 59.0% 2.14 46.7% +12.3 pp
Mogi das Cruzes to win 14.0% 12.00 8.3% +5.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Franca

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Feb 2022 Pato Basket Home 97-80 W
3 Feb 2022 Caxias Do Sul Away 83-68 W
29 Jan 2022 Bauru Home 104-88 W
27 Jan 2022 Pinheiros Home 95-80 W
16 Jan 2022 Caxias Do Sul Home 87-91 L

Mogi das Cruzes

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Feb 2022 Rio Claro Away 56-75 L
5 Feb 2022 Flamengo Home 77-117 L
28 Jan 2022 Paulistano Away 62-69 L
25 Jan 2022 Corinthians Away 75-98 L
10 Jan 2022 Pato Basket Home 68-72 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Franca 10 93.7 77.4
Mogi das Cruzes 10 71.5 83.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Franca and Mogi das Cruzes in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
13 Nov 2021 NBB Mogi das Cruzes vs Franca 96-102
13 Feb 2021 NBB Mogi das Cruzes vs Franca 87-75
20 Nov 2020 NBB Franca vs Mogi das Cruzes 94-82
22 Oct 2020 Paulista Franca vs Mogi das Cruzes 92-73