Chile 67-78 Uruguay

Finished

For this World Championship Americas Qualification match, BetFTW's top pick is Uruguay to win with -8.5 handicap, with a 72% estimated probability. We also predict Uruguay to win at 84%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Uruguay to win with -8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 44.6/100
    Odds 2.02 Bethard Recorded P/L +45.44
    Best odds 2.02 Bethard
  2. Pick 2 Uruguay to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    84%
    Stake Med 32.4/100
    Odds 1.31 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +10.04
    Best odds 1.31 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Uruguay to win with -8.5 handicap 72.0% 2.02 49.5% +22.5 pp
Uruguay to win 84.0% 1.31 76.3% +7.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Chile

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Feb 2022 Colombia Home 90-76 W
27 Nov 2021 Brazil Home 55-81 L
26 Nov 2021 Brazil Away 53-77 L
16 Jul 2021 Nicaragua Away 82-63 W
14 Jul 2021 Bolivia Home 105-52 W

Uruguay

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Feb 2022 Brazil Away 66-85 L
26 Nov 2021 Colombia Home 83-75 W
2 Jul 2021 Czech Republic Away 79-80 L
30 Jun 2021 Turkey Home 86-95 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Chile 5 77.0 69.8