Cearense 82-75 Mogi das Cruzes

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is under 159.0 points, with a 73% estimated probability. We also predict under 156.0 points at 67%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 159.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake Med 39.7/100
    Odds 1.81 betFIRST Recorded P/L +32.13
    Best odds 1.81 betFIRST
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 156.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 35.6/100
    Odds 2.05 Betobet Recorded P/L -36.72
    Best odds 2.09 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Mogi das Cruzes to win with +3.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 6.6/100
    Odds 1.93 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -6.61
    Best odds 1.93 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 159.0 73.0% 1.81 55.2% +17.8 pp
Total score under 156.0 67.0% 2.09 47.8% +19.2 pp
Mogi das Cruzes to win with +3.5 handicap 55.0% 1.93 51.8% +3.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Cearense

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Mar 2022 Pato Basket Home 78-84 L
18 Feb 2022 Caxias Do Sul Away 66-74 L
13 Feb 2022 Bauru Home 74-72 W
11 Feb 2022 Pinheiros Home 65-81 L
26 Jan 2022 Unifacisa Away 68-95 L

Mogi das Cruzes

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Mar 2022 Unifacisa Away 82-91 L
19 Feb 2022 Brasilia Home 83-72 W
17 Feb 2022 Cerrado Iesplan Home 87-67 W
14 Feb 2022 Franca Away 71-92 L
12 Feb 2022 Rio Claro Away 56-75 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Cearense 10 76.7 89.6
Mogi das Cruzes 10 73.9 82.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Cearense and Mogi das Cruzes in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 Dec 2021 NBB Mogi das Cruzes vs Cearense 86-79
26 Feb 2021 NBB Mogi das Cruzes vs Cearense 84-94
14 Dec 2020 NBB Cearense vs Mogi das Cruzes 85-88