Unifacisa 87-78 Pato Basket

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is Unifacisa to win with -8.5 handicap, with a 79% estimated probability. We also predict Unifacisa to win with -10.5 handicap at 76%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Unifacisa to win with -8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake High 57.1/100
    Odds 1.96 betFIRST Recorded P/L +54.84
    Best odds 1.96 betFIRST
  2. Pick 2 Unifacisa to win with -10.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake High 54.4/100
    Odds 2.11 Betclic Recorded P/L -54.38
    Best odds 2.11 Betclic
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 158.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 35.2/100
    Odds 2.25 STS Recorded P/L +44.00
    Best odds 2.25 STS
  4. Pick 4 Total score over 156.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 34.0/100
    Odds 1.94 STS Recorded P/L +31.92
    Best odds 1.94 STS
  5. Pick 5 Unifacisa to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    86%
    Stake Med 32.2/100
    Odds 1.26 Betano Recorded P/L +20.40
    Best odds 1.40 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Unifacisa to win with -8.5 handicap 79.0% 1.96 51.0% +28.0 pp
Unifacisa to win with -10.5 handicap 76.0% 2.11 47.4% +28.6 pp
Total score over 158.0 64.0% 2.25 44.4% +19.6 pp
Total score over 156.0 68.0% 1.94 51.5% +16.5 pp
Unifacisa to win 86.0% 1.40 71.4% +14.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Unifacisa

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Mar 2022 Mogi das Cruzes Home 91-82 W
20 Feb 2022 Caxias Do Sul Away 79-60 W
11 Feb 2022 Bauru Home 92-64 W
9 Feb 2022 Pinheiros Home 87-85 W
5 Feb 2022 Sao Paulo FC Away 70-88 L

Pato Basket

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Mar 2022 Cearense Away 84-78 W
19 Feb 2022 Cerrado Iesplan Home 78-94 L
17 Feb 2022 Brasilia Home 77-75 W
12 Feb 2022 Franca Away 80-97 L
10 Feb 2022 Rio Claro Away 65-79 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Unifacisa 10 81.5 75.5
Pato Basket 10 76.4 84.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Unifacisa and Pato Basket in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 Dec 2021 NBB Pato Basket vs Unifacisa 69-80
10 Apr 2021 NBB Unifacisa vs Pato Basket 99-80
19 Nov 2020 NBB Pato Basket vs Unifacisa 85-76