Paulistano 68-87 Flamengo

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is Paulistano to win with +8.5 handicap, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict under 158.0 points at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Paulistano to win with +8.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 20.3/100
    Odds 2.06 Bethard Recorded P/L -20.32
    Best odds 2.06 Bethard
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 158.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 18.6/100
    Odds 1.92 ComeOn Recorded P/L +17.12
    Best odds 1.92 ComeOn
  3. Pick 3 Paulistano to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    36%
    Stake Low 15.4/100
    Odds 4.10 Caesars Recorded P/L -15.35
    Best odds 4.10 Caesars
  4. Pick 4 Paulistano to win with +7.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 14.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Interwetten Recorded P/L -14.00
    Best odds 2.00 Interwetten
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Paulistano to win with +8.5 handicap 59.0% 2.06 48.5% +10.5 pp
Total score under 158.0 61.0% 1.92 52.1% +8.9 pp
Paulistano to win 36.0% 4.10 24.4% +11.6 pp
Paulistano to win with +7.5 handicap 57.0% 2.00 50.0% +7.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Paulistano

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 May 2022 Flamengo Home 73-80 L
29 Apr 2022 Flamengo Away 68-74 L
26 Apr 2022 Rio Claro Home 68-64 W
23 Apr 2022 Rio Claro Home 90-84 W
20 Apr 2022 Rio Claro Away 65-67 L

Flamengo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 May 2022 Paulistano Away 80-73 W
29 Apr 2022 Paulistano Home 74-68 W
19 Apr 2022 Brasilia Home 113-83 W
16 Apr 2022 Pinheiros Away 80-92 L
15 Apr 2022 Bauru Away 92-80 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Paulistano 10 73.9 72.1
Flamengo 10 84.0 79.5

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Paulistano and Flamengo in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 May 2022 NBB Paulistano vs Flamengo 73-80
29 Apr 2022 NBB Flamengo vs Paulistano 74-68
18 Mar 2022 NBB Flamengo vs Paulistano 73-70
15 Jan 2022 Copa Super 8 Flamengo vs Paulistano 71-68
11 Nov 2021 NBB Paulistano vs Flamengo 87-81