Cerrado Iesplan 109-110 Pato Basket

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is over 168.0 points, with a 68% estimated probability. We also predict Cerrado Iesplan to win with -4.5 handicap at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 168.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 38.9/100
    Odds 2.10 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +42.80
    Best odds 2.10 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 Cerrado Iesplan to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 10.2/100
    Odds 2.05 BetVictor Recorded P/L -10.19
    Best odds 2.05 BetVictor
  3. Pick 3 Cerrado Iesplan to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 7.8/100
    Odds 1.64 efbet Recorded P/L -9.45
    Best odds 1.66 efbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 168.0 68.0% 2.10 47.6% +20.4 pp
Cerrado Iesplan to win with -4.5 handicap 54.0% 2.05 48.8% +5.2 pp
Cerrado Iesplan to win 64.0% 1.66 60.2% +3.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Cerrado Iesplan

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 Corinthians Home 89-79 W
22 Dec 2022 Rio Claro Away 90-93 L
20 Dec 2022 Franca Away 76-98 L
15 Dec 2022 Sao Paulo FC Home 101-94 W
13 Dec 2022 Paulistano Home 80-93 L

Pato Basket

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Jan 2023 Brasilia Away 66-79 L
21 Dec 2022 Minas Home 74-88 L
6 Dec 2022 Caxias Do Sul Away 84-73 W
30 Nov 2022 Pinheiros Home 95-76 W
23 Nov 2022 Unifacisa Away 79-89 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Cerrado Iesplan 10 85.2 92.6
Pato Basket 10 74.7 83.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Cerrado Iesplan and Pato Basket in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
19 Feb 2022 NBB Pato Basket vs Cerrado Iesplan 78-94
19 Nov 2021 NBB Cerrado Iesplan vs Pato Basket 85-86